Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 2.182595 2.615156 3.100431 3.683602 4.363724 5.130130 6.057382
2025-12-21 1.552181 2.097017 2.774632 3.672827 4.824795 6.244553 8.117660
2025-12-28 1.254105 1.868933 2.699951 3.890423 5.534219 7.703350 10.757202
2026-01-04 1.020117 1.656174 2.579966 3.993682 6.070180 8.969152 13.272335
2026-01-11 0.868104 1.519842 2.527700 4.160301 6.687584 10.386785 16.124539
2026-01-18 0.719131 1.352303 2.390853 4.164283 7.044945 11.446205 18.547976
2026-01-25 0.578101 1.165842 2.186556 4.019958 7.137150 12.095595 20.396270
2026-02-01 0.467356 1.008217 2.000231 3.869349 7.185935 12.662290 22.145500
2026-02-08 0.398107 0.913509 1.906900 3.860852 7.462414 13.608759 24.572823
2026-02-15 0.343262 0.835657 1.830542 3.868346 7.760333 14.608532 27.163195
2026-02-22 0.292393 0.755061 1.734549 3.822134 7.949383 15.429134 29.506234
2026-03-01 0.237723 0.653538 1.578180 3.632300 7.841233 15.703924 30.903744
2026-03-08 0.203576 0.593770 1.502358 3.600099 8.042434 16.574743 33.476351
2026-03-15 0.175910 0.543778 1.439734 3.586795 8.279590 17.534550 36.296496
2026-03-22 0.165760 0.537641 1.477418 3.798922 9.004541 19.491857 41.149701
2026-03-29 0.150328 0.513269 1.467055 3.899716 9.502664 21.043470 45.339152
2026-04-05 0.139692 0.500252 1.482627 4.062720 10.152007 22.949108 50.360705
2026-04-12 0.123132 0.465140 1.435153 4.066591 10.445628 24.149065 54.060867
2026-04-19 0.103253 0.413986 1.335360 3.925314 10.389947 24.611843 56.294264
2026-04-26 0.086276 0.367429 1.239155 3.777904 10.300573 24.990153 58.373857
2026-05-03 0.076084 0.341699 1.197996 3.769588 10.543217 26.107174 62.085311
2026-05-10 0.067618 0.319860 1.164409 3.776922 10.824496 27.330767 66.109393
2026-05-17 0.058926 0.294428 1.114774 3.731695 10.967330 28.250821 69.533883